Teams With Highest Expected Goals (xG) - Football Analytics

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Expected Goals (xG) Analytics

Discover teams creating the highest quality scoring chances. Our xG analytics reveal which teams consistently generate dangerous opportunities, providing crucial insights for attacking performance and goal-scoring potential.

trending_up Top 50 xG Teams Based on Last 10 Matches

Expected Goals (xG) is one of the most reliable metrics in football analytics, offering deep insight into how many goals a team should score based on the quality of their chances. Below, you'll find the top 50 teams with the highest average xG values, calculated from their last 10 competitive matches.

RankTeamExpected GoalsQualityNext Match
#1
Bayern Munich
2.84
xG per Match
Elite Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern MunichMar 14
#2
Barcelona
2.52
xG per Match
Elite Barcelona - SevillaMar 15
#3
PSG
2.40
xG per Match
Strong PSG - NantesMar 15
#4
PSV
2.34
xG per Match
Strong PSV - NECMar 14
#5
Lech Poznan
2.28
xG per Match
Strong Lech Poznan - Shakhtar DonetskMar 12
#6
Chelsea
2.15
xG per Match
Strong Chelsea - NewcastleMar 14
#7
HNK Gorica
2.13
xG per Match
Strong NK Osijek - HNK GoricaMar 14
#8
FCSB
2.12
xG per Match
Strong FCSB - Metaloglobus BucurestiMar 13
#9
VfB Stuttgart
2.12
xG per Match
Strong VfB Stuttgart - FC PortoMar 12
#10
Tromso
2.12
xG per Match
Strong Tromso - FredrikstadMar 15
#11
Lens
2.11
xG per Match
Strong Lorient - LensMar 14
#12
Flamengo
2.11
xG per Match
Strong Flamengo - CruzeiroMar 12
#13
FC Twente
2.10
xG per Match
Strong FC Twente - FC UtrechtMar 15
#14
Liverpool
2.09
xG per Match
Strong Liverpool - TottenhamMar 15
#15
Newcastle
2.05
xG per Match
Strong Chelsea - NewcastleMar 14
#16
Juventus
2.02
xG per Match
Strong Udinese - JuventusMar 14
#17
NK Celje
2.01
xG per Match
Strong NK Celje - AEK AthensMar 12
#18
Dinamo Zagreb
2.01
xG per Match
Strong Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven BelupoMar 14
#19
Hannover 96
1.98
xG per Match
Average Schalke - Hannover 96Mar 15
#20
Man City
1.98
xG per Match
Average West Ham - Man CityMar 14
#21
Roda JC
1.96
xG per Match
Average Cambuur Leeuwarden - Roda JCMar 13
#22
Benfica
1.95
xG per Match
Average Arouca - BenficaMar 14
#23
Lucerne
1.94
xG per Match
Average Lucerne - WinterthurMar 15
#24
Concarneau
1.92
xG per Match
Average Sochaux - ConcarneauMar 13
#25
St Gallen
1.91
xG per Match
Average St Gallen - LuganoMar 14
#26
Galatasaray
1.91
xG per Match
Average Galatasaray - Istanbul BasaksehirMar 14
#27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.91
xG per Match
Average Swindon - Milton Keynes DonsMar 14
#28
Como
1.90
xG per Match
Average Como - RomaMar 15
#29
Istanbul Basaksehir
1.88
xG per Match
Average Galatasaray - Istanbul BasaksehirMar 14
#30
Atletico Madrid
1.88
xG per Match
Average Atletico Madrid - GetafeMar 14
#31
Mainz
1.87
xG per Match
Average Sigma Olomouc - MainzMar 12
#32
Genk
1.85
xG per Match
Average Genk - SC FreiburgMar 12
#33
Ham-Kam
1.84
xG per Match
Average Ham-Kam - Viking FKMar 14
#34
Willem II
1.84
xG per Match
Average Top Oss - Willem IIMar 13
#35
Strasbourg
1.84
xG per Match
Average HNK Rijeka - StrasbourgMar 12
#36
Rangers
1.84
xG per Match
Average St Mirren - RangersMar 15
#37
RB Leipzig
1.84
xG per Match
Average VfB Stuttgart - RB LeipzigMar 14
#38
LASK Linz
1.83
xG per Match
Average LASK Linz - HartbergMar 13
#39
Besiktas
1.82
xG per Match
Average Genclerbirligi - BesiktasMar 15
#40
Toluca
1.81
xG per Match
Average San Diego FC - TolucaMar 12
#41
De Graafschap
1.80
xG per Match
Average De Graafschap - FC DordrechtMar 14
#42
TSG Hoffenheim
1.80
xG per Match
Average TSG Hoffenheim - WolfsburgMar 14
#43
Celtic
1.79
xG per Match
Average Celtic - MotherwellMar 14
#44
Notts County
1.79
xG per Match
Average Notts County - ChesterfieldMar 14
#45
Newcastle Jets
1.78
xG per Match
Average Newcastle Jets - Auckland FCMar 14
#46
Club Brugge
1.78
xG per Match
Average Westerlo - Club BruggeMar 14
#47
FC Nordsjaelland
1.78
xG per Match
Average Midtjylland - FC NordsjaellandMar 15
#48
FC Porto
1.77
xG per Match
Average VfB Stuttgart - FC PortoMar 12
#49
Clube Do Remo
1.76
xG per Match
Average Clube Do Remo - FluminenseMar 12
#50
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
1.76
xG per Match
Average FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin MichalovceMar 14

Understanding Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) is a statistical metric that measures the quality of scoring chances created by a team. It calculates the probability that a shot will result in a goal based on factors like shot location, angle, type of assist, and defensive pressure.

Teams with higher xG values consistently create better scoring opportunities, making them more likely to score goals and win matches. This metric is crucial for identifying truly dangerous attacking teams beyond just goal tallies.

xG Performance Categories

  • Elite (2.5+ xG): Exceptional attacking teams creating numerous high-quality chances
  • Strong (2.0-2.4 xG): Very good attacking teams with consistent chance creation
  • Average (1.5-1.9 xG): Decent attacking teams with moderate chance creation
  • Weak (Below 1.5 xG): Teams struggling to create quality scoring opportunities
  • Top 50 Rankings: Most dangerous attacking teams across all leagues
  • Recent Form: Based on last 10 competitive matches

Leverage xG Analytics for Smarter Betting

Use these Expected Goals statistics to identify teams with the strongest attacking potential. Combine xG data with our daily predictions to make more informed betting decisions and maximize your success rate.

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