Our Wrexham vs Chelsea Prediction: 2-1
Wrexham vs Chelsea in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Wrexham vs Chelsea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wrexham's Last Match – Charlton vs Wrexham
Wrexham must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 England Championship victory over Charlton in their last outing. In that match, Wrexham recorded 46% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charlton | 54% | 7 (1) | 1.34 | 79 |
 Wrexham | 46% | 4 (2) | 0.53 | 35 |
Chelsea's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Chelsea will hope to extend their good run following a 4-1 England Premier League win against Aston Villa on March 4. In that match, Chelsea had 57% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 43% | 7 (4) | 0.87 | 36 |
 Chelsea | 57% | 11 (8) | 3.92 | 37 |
Wrexham vs Chelsea Stats
Key Stats
| Wrexham | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Attacking Strength | 1.36 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.73 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wrexham are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Chelsea average 2.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Wrexham 17-13
Chelsea 24-13
What are the odds for this match?
Wrexham to win: @6.25
Draw: @5
Chelsea to win: @1.42