Our St Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs Werder Bremen in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This St Pauli vs Werder Bremen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli
After suffering a 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Bayer Leverkusen, St Pauli must win to get back on track. In that match, St Pauli had 31% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayer Leverkusen | 69% | 10 (8) | 1.38 | 57 |
 St Pauli | 31% | 10 (1) | 0.48 | 32 |
Werder Bremen's Last Match – Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-3 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Bayern Munich on February 14. In that match, Werder Bremen saw 35% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Werder Bremen | 35% | 9 (3) | 0.98 | 38 |
 Bayern Munich | 65% | 8 (8) | 1.89 | 65 |
St Pauli vs Werder Bremen Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Attacking Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.13 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Werder Bremen average 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
St Pauli 7-16
Werder Bremen 4-18
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @2.75
Draw: @3.1
Werder Bremen to win: @2.75
Lineups
St Pauli (3-4-2-1) : Nikola Vasilj, Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, Eric Smith, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, Danel Sinani, Martijn Kaars
Werder Bremen (3-4-2-1) : Mio Backhaus, Niklas Stark, Senne Lynen, Marco Friedl, Justin Njinmah, Cameron Puertas Castro, Jens Stage, Isaac Schmidt, Romano Schmid, Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda, Marco Grull
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
TSG Hoffenheim 
VfB Stuttgart 
RB Leipzig 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Augsburg 
Hamburg 
Union Berlin 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Werder Bremen 
Cologne 
Mainz 
St Pauli 
Wolfsburg 
Heidenheim