Our Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Prediction: 1-2
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. We anticipate a 1-2 away victory, but given both teams’ ability to score, BTTS seems like a valuable betting option.
This Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC
Wellington Phoenix must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-5 Australia A-League defeat against Auckland FC on February 21. In that match, Wellington Phoenix controlled 49% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wellington Phoenix | 49% | 7 (1) | 0.44 | 44 |
 Auckland FC | 51% | 9 (5) | 1.38 | 27 |
Sydney FC's Last Match – Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar
Sydney FC will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Australia A-League victory over Brisbane Roar, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Sydney FC saw 65% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sydney FC | 65% | 11 (5) | 1.09 | 40 |
 Brisbane Roar | 35% | 9 (5) | 0.47 | 20 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC Stats
Key Stats
| Wellington Phoenix | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.4 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wellington Phoenix are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, while Sydney FC average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix 18-24
Sydney FC 10-13
What are the odds for this match?
Wellington Phoenix to win: @3.6
Draw: @3.9
Sydney FC to win: @1.909
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix (5-3-2) : Joshua Oluwayemi, Matt Sheridan, Bill Tuiloma, Manjrekar James, Isaac Hughes, Carlo Armiento, Paulo Retre, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Ramy Najjarine, Corban Piper
Sydney FC (4-1-4-1) : Harrison Devenish-Meares, Rhyan Grant, Alexandar Popovic, Alex Grant, Ben Garuccio, Paul Okon-Engstler, Joe Lolley, Tiago Quintal, Ahmet Arslan, Piero Quispe, Apostolos Stamatelopoulos