Our Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction: 2-2
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 08:35 GMT kick-off on Friday January 23, 2026. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle Jets's Last Match – Western Sydney Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets
Newcastle Jets must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Australia A-League victory over Western Sydney Wanderers in their last outing. In that match, Newcastle Jets saw 44% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Western Sydney Wanderers | 56% | 13 (7) | 1.87 | 70 |
 Newcastle Jets | 44% | 13 (6) | 1.55 | 54 |
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Australia A-League success over Sydney FC on January 18. In that match, Wellington Phoenix controlled 33% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sydney FC | 67% | 6 (4) | 0.92 | 54 |
 Wellington Phoenix | 33% | 10 (5) | 1.13 | 24 |
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle Jets | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.55 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle Jets are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Newcastle Jets 18-15
Wellington Phoenix 16-18
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle Jets to win: @1.7
Draw: @4.1
Wellington Phoenix to win: @4.2
Newcastle Jets 
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Wellington Phoenix 
Western Sydney Wanderers