Our Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction: 1-1
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners in the Australia A-League is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Wellington Phoenix's Last Match – Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 Australia A-League defeat at the hands of Newcastle Jets on December 14. In that match, Wellington Phoenix had 50% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wellington Phoenix | 50% | 9 (10) | 1.32 | 51 |
 Newcastle Jets | 50% | 13 (9) | 3.28 | 51 |
Central Coast Mariners's Last Match – Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland FC
Central Coast Mariners will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Australia A-League loss to Auckland FC on December 12. In that match, Central Coast Mariners recorded 47% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Central Coast Mariners | 47% | 3 (2) | 0.21 | 0 |
 Auckland FC | 53% | 7 (6) | 1.15 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Stats
Key Stats
| Wellington Phoenix | Central Coast Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.16 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Wellington Phoenix are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Central Coast Mariners average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Wellington Phoenix 11-18
Central Coast Mariners 12-17
What are the odds for this match?
Wellington Phoenix to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.6
Central Coast Mariners to win: @3.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix (3-5-2) : Joshua Oluwayemi, Isaac Hughes, Manjrekar James, Lukas Kelly-Heald, Matt Sheridan, Kazuki Nagasawa, Alex Rufer, Ramy Najjarine, Carlo Armiento, Eze Ifeanyi, Corban Piper
Central Coast Mariners (4-3-3) : Andrew Redmayne, Storm Roux, James Donachie, Nathan Paull, Will Kennedy, Alfie John McCalmont, Brad Tapp, Harry Steele, Christian Theoharous, James Sabit, Lucas Mauragis