Our Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction: 2-1
Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 28, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Oaxaca's Last Match – Irapuato vs Oaxaca
Oaxaca will be eager to respond after suffering a 2-6 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat at the hands of Irapuato on March 8. In that match, Oaxaca controlled 42% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Irapuato | 58% | 0 (10) | - | 48 |
 Oaxaca | 42% | 0 (4) | - | 48 |
Universidad Guadalajara's Last Match – Club Atletico La Paz vs Universidad Guadalajara
Universidad Guadalajara will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion loss to Club Atletico La Paz on March 5. In that match, Universidad Guadalajara recorded 43% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Club Atletico La Paz | 57% | 0 (15) | - | 70 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 43% | 0 (2) | - | 34 |
Oaxaca vs Universidad Guadalajara Stats
Key Stats
| Oaxaca | Universidad Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.62 | Defence Strength | 1.39 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oaxaca are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Universidad Guadalajara average 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.