Our Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia Prediction: 3-1
Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 11, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Universidad Guadalajara's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara
Universidad Guadalajara must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion defeat against Atletico Morelia on May 4 and regain momentum. In that match, Universidad Guadalajara saw 40% of the ball and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Morelia | 60% | 0 (2) | - | 0 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 40% | 0 (0) | - | 0 |
Atletico Morelia's Last Match – Atletico Morelia vs Universidad Guadalajara
Atletico Morelia must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Universidad Guadalajara in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Morelia recorded 60% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Morelia | 60% | 0 (2) | - | 0 |
| Universidad Guadalajara | 40% | 0 (0) | - | 0 |
Universidad Guadalajara vs Atletico Morelia Stats
Key Stats
| Universidad Guadalajara | Atletico Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Universidad Guadalajara are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Atletico Morelia average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Universidad Guadalajara 17-18
Atletico Morelia 17-11
What are the odds for this match?
Universidad Guadalajara to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Atletico Morelia to win: @3.7
Atletico Morelia 
Atlante 
Jaiba Brava 
Oaxaca 
Correcaminos 
Venados FC 
Mineros de Zacatecas 
Universidad Guadalajara 
Dorados