Our Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction: 2-1
Union Berlin vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 10, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Berlin vs Mainz stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Union Berlin's Last Match – Cologne vs Union Berlin
Union Berlin will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Cologne, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Union Berlin recorded 38% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cologne | 62% | 6 (2) | 0.54 | 46 |
 Union Berlin | 38% | 6 (3) | 1.22 | 49 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs St Pauli
Determined to get back to winning ways, Mainz must win after their 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against St Pauli on December 21. In that match, Mainz had 53% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 53% | 11 (1) | 1.02 | 51 |
 St Pauli | 47% | 5 (1) | 0.26 | 28 |
Union Berlin vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| Union Berlin | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.09 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Berlin are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Union Berlin 13-13
Mainz 8-12
What are the odds for this match?
Union Berlin to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.2
Mainz to win: @3.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Union Berlin (3-4-2-1) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Diogo Leite, Janik Haberer, Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Derrick Kohn, Oliver Burke, Livan Burcu, Andrej Ilic
Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nikolas Veratschnig, Lee Jae-sung, Nadiem Amiri, Benedict Hollerbach, Phillip Tietz