Our Hamburg vs Union Berlin Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs Union Berlin in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Hamburg vs Union Berlin prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – Heidenheim vs Hamburg
Determined to maintain their recent success, Hamburg must win following their 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against Heidenheim on February 7. In that match, Hamburg recorded 52% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heidenheim | 48% | 13 (4) | 1.53 | 35 |
 Hamburg | 52% | 10 (5) | 1.48 | 36 |
Union Berlin's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Eintracht Frankfurt on February 6. In that match, Union Berlin saw 27% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Berlin | 27% | 10 (3) | 1.24 | 37 |
 Eintracht Frankfurt | 73% | 3 (1) | 0.14 | 39 |
Hamburg vs Union Berlin Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 0.73 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Union Berlin average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Hamburg 13-13
Union Berlin 13-18
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.25
Union Berlin to win: @2.9
Lineups
Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Robert Glatzel, Philipas Otele
Union Berlin (3-4-1-2) : Frederik Ronnow, Danilho Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Stanley Nsoki, Christopher Trimmel, Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Derrick Kohn, Jeong Woo-yeong, Andrej Ilic, Ilyas Ansah