Our Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction: 1-2
Toulouse vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 20:05 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We predict a 1-2 away victory, but with both teams finding the net regularly, BTTS is also a strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toulouse's Last Match – Marseille vs Toulouse
Toulouse should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 France Cup draw against Marseille on March 4. In that match, Toulouse had 50% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 50% | 8 (5) | 1.2 | 60 |
 Toulouse | 50% | 7 (5) | 1.1 | 35 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Toulouse
Marseille will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 France Cup share of the spoils with Toulouse on March 4. In that match, Marseille recorded 50% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 50% | 8 (5) | 1.2 | 60 |
| Toulouse | 50% | 7 (5) | 1.1 | 35 |
Toulouse vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Toulouse | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 1.54 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toulouse are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Marseille average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Toulouse 13-9
Marseille 15-22
What are the odds for this match?
Toulouse to win: @3
Draw: @3.6
Marseille to win: @2.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Toulouse (3-4-2-1) : Guillaume Restes, Djibril Sidibe, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mark McKenzie, Waren Kamanzi, Cristian Casseres Jr, Pape Diop, Dayann Methalie, Aron Donnum, Emersonn Da Silva, Yann Gboho
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Tim Weah, Leonardo Balerdi, Benjamin Pavard, Facundo Medina, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Quinten Timber, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang