Our Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 2-1
Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 17, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tottenham's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham
After suffering a 2-5 UEFA Champions League loss to Atletico Madrid, Tottenham must win to get back on track. In that match, Tottenham recorded 42% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 58% | 9 (7) | 3.11 | 38 |
 Tottenham | 42% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 21 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham
Determined to maintain their recent success, Atletico Madrid must win following their 5-2 UEFA Champions League victory against Tottenham on March 10. In that match, Atletico Madrid saw 58% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 58% | 9 (7) | 3.11 | 38 |
| Tottenham | 42% | 8 (5) | 1.41 | 21 |
Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Tottenham | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 0.4 | Defence Strength | 1.09 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tottenham are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 2.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Tottenham 14-22
Atletico Madrid 24-17
What are the odds for this match?
Tottenham to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.6
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.625
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
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