Our New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction: 1-1
New York City FC vs Toronto FC in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Friday July 4, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This New York City FC vs Toronto FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New York City FC's Last Match – CF Montreal vs New York City FC
New York City FC will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 USA MLS setback against CF Montreal on June 29. In that match, New York City FC controlled 68% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CF Montreal | 32% | 7 (6) | 1.19 | 42 |
 New York City FC | 68% | 7 (2) | 0.82 | 48 |
Toronto FC's Last Match – Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers
Toronto FC will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-0 USA MLS victory over Portland Timbers on June 29. In that match, Toronto FC recorded 43% possession, attempting 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toronto FC | 43% | 11 (6) | 1.38 | 42 |
 Portland Timbers | 57% | 1 (0) | 0.22 | 36 |
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Stats
Key Stats
| New York City FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New York City FC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Toronto FC average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
New York City FC 12-9
Toronto FC 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
New York City FC to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.1
Toronto FC to win: @5.5