Our Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction: 1-1
Tondela vs Rio Ave in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Monday March 9, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Santa Clara
Tondela will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Santa Clara on March 1. In that match, Tondela saw 42% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 42% | 7 (4) | 1.56 | 22 |
 Santa Clara | 58% | 11 (5) | 1.68 | 31 |
Rio Ave's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Rio Ave must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Famalicao on March 1. In that match, Rio Ave recorded 46% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 46% | 9 (3) | 0.98 | 40 |
 Famalicao | 54% | 6 (3) | 0.85 | 47 |
Tondela vs Rio Ave Stats
Key Stats
| Tondela | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tondela are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Rio Ave average 0.6 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Tondela 11-13
Rio Ave 6-22
What are the odds for this match?
Tondela to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.2
Rio Ave to win: @3.7
Lineups
Tondela (5-4-1) : Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Joao Silva, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Bebeto, Joe Hodge, Juan Rodriguez, Rodrigo Conceicao, Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, Makan Aiko, Benjamin Kimpioka
Rio Ave (4-2-3-1) : Ennio Van Der Gouw, Marios Vroussay, Jakub Brabec, Gustavo Mancha, Nelson Abbey, Tamas Nikitscher, Andreas Ntoi, Diogo Bezerra de Oliveira, Ole Pohlmann, Dario Spikic, Jalen Blesa
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Estoril 
Guimaraes 
Alverca 
Arouca 
Estrela 
Rio Ave 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Tondela