Our Estrela vs Tondela Prediction: 2-1
Estrela vs Tondela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:45 GMT kick-off on Friday February 20, 2026. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Estrela vs Tondela stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Estrela's Last Match – Guimaraes vs Estrela
Estrela must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Guimaraes on February 14. In that match, Estrela controlled 46% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Guimaraes | 54% | 11 (6) | 1.49 | 64 |
 Estrela | 46% | 4 (4) | 1.01 | 15 |
Tondela's Last Match – Tondela vs Alverca
Tondela will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw with Alverca on February 13. In that match, Tondela recorded 60% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tondela | 60% | 14 (4) | 1.55 | 65 |
 Alverca | 40% | 5 (4) | 0.72 | 40 |
Estrela vs Tondela Stats
Key Stats
| Estrela | Tondela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estrela are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Tondela average 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Estrela 11-21
Tondela 8-16
What are the odds for this match?
Estrela to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.1
Tondela to win: @2.75
Lineups
Estrela (4-1-4-1) : Renan Ribeiro, Jefferson Encada, Luan Patrick, Stefan Lekovic, Otavio, Kevin Hoog Jansson, Abraham Marcus, Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira, Eddy Doue, Jovane Cabral, Sydney Van Hooijdonk
Tondela (5-4-1) : Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Bebeto, Joao Silva, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Rodrigo Conceicao, Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos, Cicero, Joe Hodge, Makan Aiko, Benjamin Kimpioka
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Estoril 
Guimaraes 
Alverca 
Arouca 
Estrela 
Rio Ave 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Tondela