Our San Diego FC vs Toluca Prediction: 4-1
San Diego FC vs Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions Cup is scheduled for an 03:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 12, 2026. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This San Diego FC vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
San Diego FC's Last Match – Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego FC
Determined to maintain their recent success, San Diego FC must win following their 1-0 USA MLS victory against Sporting Kansas City on March 8. In that match, San Diego FC saw 68% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting Kansas City | 32% | 4 (3) | 0.36 | 33 |
 San Diego FC | 68% | 12 (7) | 2.02 | 58 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Juarez FC
Toluca will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Mexico Liga MX win against Juarez FC on March 8. In that match, Toluca had 66% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 66% | 11 (5) | 2.14 | 60 |
 Juarez FC | 34% | 4 (2) | 0.32 | 20 |
San Diego FC vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| San Diego FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 2.4 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
San Diego FC are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
San Diego FC 22-7
Toluca 17-5
What are the odds for this match?
San Diego FC to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.5
Toluca to win: @3.1