Our Toluca vs New York City FC Prediction: 2-1
Toluca vs New York City FC in the Leagues Cup is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday August 6, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs New York City FC
Toluca will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Leagues Cup victory over New York City FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Toluca recorded 44% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 44% | 10 (5) | 2.16 | 37 |
 New York City FC | 56% | 8 (2) | 0.49 | 51 |
New York City FC's Last Match – Toluca vs New York City FC
New York City FC must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Leagues Cup defeat against Toluca on August 5 and regain momentum. In that match, New York City FC recorded 56% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 44% | 10 (5) | 2.16 | 37 |
| New York City FC | 56% | 8 (2) | 0.49 | 51 |
Toluca vs New York City FC Stats
Key Stats
| Toluca | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.12 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toluca are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while New York City FC average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Toluca 24-12
New York City FC 17-14
What are the odds for this match?
Toluca to win: @1.75
Draw: @4.1
New York City FC to win: @3.8