Our Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC Prediction: 2-1
Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC in the Mexico Liga de Expansion is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
Our prediction is supported by key Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Oaxaca's Last Match – Venados FC vs Oaxaca
Oaxaca must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 3-3 Mexico Liga de Expansion draw against Venados FC on February 7. In that match, Oaxaca recorded 35% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venados FC | 65% | 0 (7) | - | 46 |
 Oaxaca | 35% | 0 (3) | - | 33 |
Tlaxcala FC's Last Match – Tlaxcala FC vs Universidad Guadalajara
Tlaxcala FC will want to continue their winning form after a 5-2 Mexico Liga de Expansion victory over Universidad Guadalajara, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tlaxcala FC saw 41% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Tlaxcala FC | 41% | 0 (7) | - | 60 |
 Universidad Guadalajara | 59% | 0 (5) | - | 86 |
Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala FC Stats
Key Stats
| Oaxaca | Tlaxcala FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.66 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oaxaca are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Tlaxcala FC average 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Oaxaca 13-14
Tlaxcala FC 14-21
What are the odds for this match?
Oaxaca to win: @2.3
Draw: @3.7
Tlaxcala FC to win: @2.6