Our Derby vs Swansea Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Swansea in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Derby vs Swansea prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Ipswich
Derby will look to get back on track following a 1-2 England Championship loss against Ipswich on February 7. In that match, Derby had 54% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby | 54% | 4 (1) | 1.03 | 56 |
Ipswich | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.27 | 47 |
Swansea's Last Match – Swansea vs Sheff Wed
Swansea will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-0 England Championship triumph against Sheff Wed on February 8.
Derby vs Swansea Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Swansea average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Derby 15-12
Swansea 16-9
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.25
Swansea to win: @3.4
Lineups
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Callum Elder, David Ozoh, Oscar Fraulo, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang
Swansea (4-1-4-1) : Lawrence Vigouroux, Ethan Gaibraith, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Marko Stamenic, Ronald Pereira Martins, Goncalo Franco, Liam Cullen, Eom Ji-sung, Zan Vipotnik



Derby
Ipswich
Coventry
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Hull
Wrexham
Southampton
Derby
Watford
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheff Utd
Preston
Norwich
Stoke
Charlton
QPR
Portsmouth
Blackburn
Leicester
Oxford Utd
West Brom
Sheff Wed