Our Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Sunderland in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Barcelona
Newcastle must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 UEFA Champions League draw against Barcelona on March 10. In that match, Newcastle recorded 46% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 46% | 11 (4) | 1.36 | 48 |
 Barcelona | 54% | 6 (2) | 0.68 | 24 |
Sunderland's Last Match – Port Vale vs Sunderland
Sunderland will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England FA Cup loss against Port Vale on March 8. In that match, Sunderland recorded 69% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Port Vale | 31% | 3 (1) | 0.53 | 18 |
 Sunderland | 69% | 13 (6) | 1.71 | 67 |
Newcastle vs Sunderland Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Attacking Strength | 0.39 |
| 1.42 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 10/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Sunderland average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Newcastle 23-18
Sunderland 10-13
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.615
Draw: @3.75
Sunderland to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875
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