Our Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction: 2-1
Leeds vs Sunderland in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Leeds vs Sunderland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leeds's Last Match – Leeds vs Man City
Leeds will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England Premier League loss against Man City on February 28. In that match, Leeds had 33% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 33% | 9 (2) | 1.47 | 45 |
 Man City | 67% | 8 (5) | 1.76 | 62 |
Sunderland's Last Match – Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Sunderland should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England Premier League draw against Bournemouth on February 28. In that match, Sunderland recorded 38% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bournemouth | 62% | 10 (5) | 1.49 | 63 |
 Sunderland | 38% | 5 (4) | 1.42 | 40 |
Leeds vs Sunderland Stats
Key Stats
| Leeds | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Attacking Strength | 0.48 |
| 1.19 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leeds are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Sunderland average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Leeds 15-16
Sunderland 10-16
What are the odds for this match?
Leeds to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.6
Sunderland to win: @3.9
Lineups
Leeds (3-4-2-1) : Karl Darlow, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Jayden Bogle, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Sunderland (3-4-2-1) : Melker Ellborg, Luke O'Nien, Daniel Ballard, Omar Alderete, Lutsharel Geertruida, Habib Diarra, Noah Sadiki, Trai Hume, Nilson Angulo, Enzo Le Fee, Eliezer Mayenda
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