Stoke vs Southampton Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Stoke vs Southampton Prediction: 2-1

Stoke vs Southampton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.

This Stoke vs Southampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Stoke's Last Match – Birmingham vs Stoke

Stoke should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England Championship draw against Birmingham on January 24. In that match, Stoke recorded 55% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Birmingham	45%	10 (5)	1.87	41
Stoke	55%	4 (2)	0.32	51

Southampton's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Southampton

Southampton will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Championship draw with Portsmouth on January 25. In that match, Southampton controlled 46% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Portsmouth	54%	9 (3)	1.63	53
Southampton	46%	5 (4)	1.11	32

Stoke vs Southampton Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Stoke are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Southampton average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Stoke Fixtures

Southampton Fixtures