Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction: 1-1
Stoke vs Middlesbrough in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs QPR
Determined to get back to winning ways, Stoke must win after their 0-0 England Championship draw against QPR on January 17. In that match, Stoke recorded 73% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 73% | 11 (4) | 0.81 | 59 |
 QPR | 27% | 6 (2) | 0.28 | 21 |
Middlesbrough's Last Match – West Brom vs Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 England Championship victory over West Brom, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Middlesbrough saw 57% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Brom | 43% | 9 (6) | 1.06 | 36 |
 Middlesbrough | 57% | 8 (5) | 0.92 | 48 |
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.7 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Middlesbrough average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Stoke 7-9
Middlesbrough 17-12
What are the odds for this match?
Stoke to win: @2.8
Draw: @3.25
Middlesbrough to win: @2.4
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025