Our Stoke vs Leicester Prediction: 2-1
Stoke vs Leicester in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Stoke vs Leicester prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Fulham
Stoke must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 England FA Cup defeat against Fulham on February 15. In that match, Stoke recorded 32% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 32% | 5 (3) | 0.41 | 32 |
 Fulham | 68% | 16 (8) | 1.48 | 67 |
Leicester's Last Match – Southampton vs Leicester
Leicester must win to recover from their recent 1-2 England FA Cup defeat against Southampton on February 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Leicester recorded 55% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southampton | 45% | 6 (4) | 1.34 | 45 |
 Leicester | 55% | 8 (5) | 0.87 | 58 |
Stoke vs Leicester Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Leicester | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 1.03 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 1.42 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Leicester average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Stoke 7-8
Leicester 13-19
What are the odds for this match?
Stoke to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.4
Leicester to win: @3.5
Lineups
Stoke (4-2-3-1) : Tommy Simkin, Aaron Cresswell, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Eric Junior Bocat, Tatsuki Seko, Ben Pearson, Mohamed Lamine Cisse, Bae Joon-ho, Sorba Thomas, Milan Smit
Leicester (4-2-3-1) : Asmir Begovic, Ricardo Pereira, Caleb Okoli, Ben Nelson, Victor Kristiansen, Oliver Skipp, Harry Winks, Jeremy Monga, Divine Mukasa, Stephy Mavididi, Patson Daka