Our Stoke vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Stoke vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 9, 2025. A 1-1 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Stoke vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Burnley
Stoke will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 England Championship victory over Derby on August 9. In that match, Stoke had 68% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 29 |
 Burnley | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 30 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Atromitos Athinon
Derby will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 England Championship setback against Stoke on August 9. In that match, Derby recorded 32% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 65 |
 Atromitos Athinon | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 56 |
Stoke vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Stoke | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 0.78 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Stoke are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Stoke 8-13
Derby 17-10
What are the odds for this match?
Stoke to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.2
Derby to win: @3.4