Our Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Prediction: 2-0
Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 2-0 for the match between Borussia Dortmund and St Pauli.
This Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
Determined to maintain their recent success, Borussia Dortmund must win following their 3-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory against Werder Bremen on January 13. In that match, Borussia Dortmund had 46% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 46% | 12 (8) | 2.02 | 38 |
 Werder Bremen | 54% | 5 (3) | 0.32 | 23 |
St Pauli's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs St Pauli
St Pauli will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I setback against Wolfsburg on January 14. In that match, St Pauli recorded 39% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wolfsburg | 61% | 10 (5) | 1.67 | 53 |
 St Pauli | 39% | 10 (4) | 0.88 | 30 |
Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 0.54 |
| 0.27 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 22-11
St Pauli 8-15
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.3
Draw: @5.25
St Pauli to win: @10
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Emre Can, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Fabio Silva
St Pauli (3-4-3) : Nikola Vasilj, Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage