Our Bayern Munich vs St Pauli Prediction: 3-0
Bayern Munich vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 29, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Bayern Munich vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bayern Munich's Last Match – Arsenal vs Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 UEFA Champions League defeat against Arsenal on November 26. In that match, Bayern Munich controlled 60% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arsenal | 40% | 12 (8) | 2.72 | 40 |
 Bayern Munich | 60% | 5 (2) | 0.78 | 24 |
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Union Berlin
St Pauli will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Union Berlin on November 23. In that match, St Pauli recorded 59% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 59% | 8 (3) | 0.7 | 63 |
 Union Berlin | 41% | 6 (3) | 0.4 | 31 |
Bayern Munich vs St Pauli Stats
Key Stats
| Bayern Munich | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 2.8 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 9/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 3.4 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bayern Munich are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Bayern Munich 30-10
St Pauli 6-20
What are the odds for this match?
Bayern Munich to win: @1.1
Draw: @10
St Pauli to win: @19