Our St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction: 1-0
St Patricks vs Derry City in the Republic of Ireland Premier Division is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Monday March 16, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for St Patricks seems the most probable outcome against Derry City.
This St Patricks vs Derry City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Patricks's Last Match – Shelbourne vs St Patricks
Determined to maintain their recent success, St Patricks must win following their 3-2 Republic of Ireland Premier Division victory against Shelbourne on March 6. In that match, St Patricks saw 44% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shelbourne | 56% | 0 (5) | 1.78 | 55 |
 St Patricks | 44% | 0 (7) | 1.34 | 59 |
Derry City's Last Match – Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City
After suffering a 0-1 Republic of Ireland Premier Division loss to Shamrock Rovers, Derry City must win to get back on track. In that match, Derry City controlled 30% of possession and managed 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shamrock Rovers | 70% | 0 (7) | 1.43 | 68 |
 Derry City | 30% | 0 (0) | 0.31 | 44 |
St Patricks vs Derry City Stats
Key Stats
| St Patricks | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.38 | Defence Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Patricks are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Derry City average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.