Our Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction: 2-1
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – FC Groningen vs Ajax
Ajax will hope to recover from their recent 1-3 Netherlands Eredivisie setback against FC Groningen on March 7. In that match, Ajax recorded 60% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Groningen | 40% | 9 (6) | 1.91 | 47 |
 Ajax | 60% | 7 (6) | 1.82 | 52 |
Sparta Rotterdam's Last Match – Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against PEC Zwolle on March 8. In that match, Sparta Rotterdam saw 50% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sparta Rotterdam | 50% | 14 (7) | 1.48 | 57 |
 PEC Zwolle | 50% | 10 (6) | 1.23 | 40 |
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 0.96 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Sparta Rotterdam average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Ajax 16-13
Sparta Rotterdam 16-14
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
Sparta Rotterdam to win: @5