Our Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC Prediction: 1-0
Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Monday March 2, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-0 Mara Sugar FC victory, with their defensive discipline proving too strong for Sofapaka FC to break down.
This Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Bidco United vs Mara Sugar FC
Mara Sugar FC must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Kenya Premier League draw against Bidco United on February 26. In that match, Mara Sugar FC saw 56% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bidco United | 44% | 0 (2) | - | 0 |
Mara Sugar FC | 56% | 0 (2) | - | 0 |
Sofapaka FC's Last Match – Sofapaka FC vs Administration Police FC
Sofapaka FC will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 Kenya Premier League loss to Administration Police FC on February 26. In that match, Sofapaka FC recorded 43% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sofapaka FC | 43% | 0 (2) | - | 66 |
Administration Police FC | 57% | 0 (4) | - | 81 |
Mara Sugar FC vs Sofapaka FC Stats
Key Stats
| Mara Sugar FC | Sofapaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.52 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mara Sugar FC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Sofapaka FC average 0.3 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.


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