Our TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg Prediction: 3-1
TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – Bayern Munich vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim will look to get back on track following a 1-5 Germany Bundesliga I loss against Bayern Munich on February 8. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim saw 46% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bayern Munich | 54% | 28 (14) | 5.42 | 81 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 46% | 10 (4) | 2.02 | 34 |
SC Freiburg's Last Match – Hertha Berlin vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Germany DFB Pokal stalemate against Hertha Berlin on February 10. In that match, SC Freiburg controlled 48% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hertha Berlin | 52% | 11 (4) | 0.71 | 54 |
 SC Freiburg | 48% | 14 (8) | 0.92 | 47 |
TSG Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg Stats
Key Stats
| TSG Hoffenheim | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 0.86 | Defence Strength | 1.12 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
TSG Hoffenheim are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while SC Freiburg average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
TSG Hoffenheim 22-11
SC Freiburg 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @1.7
Draw: @3.9
SC Freiburg to win: @4.75
Lineups
TSG Hoffenheim (4-4-2) : Oliver Baumann, Vladimir Coufal, Robin Hranac, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Andrej Kramaric, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Promel, Wouter Burger, Bazoumana Toure, Fisnik Asllani
SC Freiburg (4-3-3) : Noah Atubolu, Philipp Treu, Matthias Ginter, Bruno Ogbus, Christian Gunter, Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Cyriaque Irie, Yuito Suzuki, Derry Lionel Scherhant, Lucas Holer