Our Gremio vs Sao Jose PA Prediction: 3-1
Gremio vs Sao Jose PA in the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Gremio vs Sao Jose PA prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gremio's Last Match – Avenida vs Gremio
Gremio will aim to maintain their momentum following a 4-0 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho triumph against Avenida on January 11. In that match, Gremio recorded 70% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Avenida | 30% | 0 (1) | 0.79 | 41 |
 Gremio | 70% | 0 (5) | 2.45 | 56 |
Sao Jose PA's Last Match – Sao Jose PA vs Inter de Santa Maria
Sao Jose PA will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho share of the spoils with Inter de Santa Maria on January 11. In that match, Sao Jose PA had 62% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Jose PA | 62% | 0 (6) | - | 71 |
Inter de Santa Maria | 38% | 0 (1) | - | 39 |
Gremio vs Sao Jose PA Stats
Key Stats
| Gremio | Sao Jose PA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gremio are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Sao Jose PA average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Gremio 21-13
Sao Jose PA 11-11
What are the odds for this match?
Gremio to win: @1.222
Draw: @5.25
Sao Jose PA to win: @11