Our Santos vs Gremio Prediction: 1-2
Santos vs Gremio in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 2, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Santos vs Gremio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Santos's Last Match – Bragantino vs Santos
Santos will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 Brazil Serie A draw with Bragantino on September 28. In that match, Santos controlled 60% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bragantino | 40% | 6 (2) | 0.73 | 29 |
 Santos | 60% | 11 (7) | 1.19 | 51 |
Gremio's Last Match – Gremio vs Vitoria
Gremio will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Brazil Serie A win against Vitoria on September 28. In that match, Gremio recorded 50% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gremio | 50% | 6 (6) | 1.64 | 49 |
 Vitoria | 50% | 9 (4) | 1.05 | 51 |
Santos vs Gremio Stats
Key Stats
| Santos | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Santos are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Gremio average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Santos 12-17
Gremio 13-10
What are the odds for this match?
Santos to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.4
Gremio to win: @3.8
Lineups
Santos (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Brazao, Mayke, Alexis Duarte, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Ze Rafael, Joao Schmidt, Benjamin Rollheiser, Alvaro Barreal, Guilherme, Lautaro Diaz
Gremio (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Grando, Gustavo Martins de Souza Santos, Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur Melo, Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha, Edenilson, Cristian Pavon, Andre Henrique
Palmeiras 
Sao Paulo 
EC Bahia 
Corinthians 
Fluminense 
Athletico Paranaense 
Bragantino 
Gremio 
Mirassol 
Chapecoense 
Atletico Mineiro 
Santos 
Flamengo 
Coritiba 
Vitoria 
Botafogo 
Clube Do Remo 
Internacional 
Cruzeiro 
Vasco da Gama