Our Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic Prediction: 1-2
Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lexington SC's Last Match – Lexington SC vs Louisville City FC
Lexington SC must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 USA USL Championship defeat against Louisville City FC on March 7. In that match, Lexington SC controlled 47% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lexington SC | 47% | 8 (3) | 0.63 | 40 |
 Louisville City FC | 53% | 10 (4) | 0.97 | 64 |
Sacramento Republic's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa
Sacramento Republic will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 USA USL Championship success over Tulsa on March 8. In that match, Sacramento Republic recorded 53% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento Republic | 53% | 7 (2) | 0.47 | 66 |
 Tulsa | 47% | 5 (3) | 0.82 | 59 |
Lexington SC vs Sacramento Republic Stats
Key Stats
| Lexington SC | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.52 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 0.55 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lexington SC are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Sacramento Republic average 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Lexington SC 10-20
Sacramento Republic 11-9
What are the odds for this match?
Lexington SC to win: @2.5
Draw: @3
Sacramento Republic to win: @2.625