Our Genoa vs Roma Prediction: 1-1
Genoa vs Roma in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Genoa vs Roma prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Genoa's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Genoa
Genoa will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Italy Serie A loss against Inter Milan on February 28. In that match, Genoa recorded 44% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Inter Milan | 56% | 7 (6) | 1.53 | 76 |
Genoa | 44% | 2 (2) | 0.2 | 34 |
Roma's Last Match – Roma vs Juventus
Roma should win to turn things around after settling for a 3-3 Italy Serie A draw against Juventus on March 1. In that match, Roma controlled 46% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Roma | 46% | 9 (5) | 1.64 | 54 |
Juventus | 54% | 10 (5) | 1.4 | 42 |
Genoa vs Roma Stats
Key Stats
| Genoa | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 1.19 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Genoa are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Roma average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Genoa 15-12
Roma 18-11
What are the odds for this match?
Genoa to win: @4.2
Draw: @3.4
Roma to win: @1.909
Lineups
Genoa (3-5-2) : Justin Bijlow, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez, Stefano Sabelli, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Mikael Ellertsson, Junior Messias, Caleb Ekuban, Jeff Ekhator
Roma (3-4-2-1) : Mile Svilar, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N Dicka, Kostas Tsimikas, Zeki Celik, Niccolo Pisilli, Manu Kone, Devyne Rensch, Lorenzo Venturino, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Donyell Malen



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