Our Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction: 2-3
Nacional vs Rio Ave in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Nacional vs Rio Ave prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nacional's Last Match – Gil Vicente vs Nacional
Nacional must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Gil Vicente on January 17. In that match, Nacional had 46% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gil Vicente | 54% | 10 (4) | 1.42 | 59 |
 Nacional | 46% | 10 (4) | 1.61 | 33 |
Rio Ave's Last Match – Rio Ave vs Benfica
Rio Ave will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Portugal Primeira Liga loss against Benfica on January 17. In that match, Rio Ave saw 37% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rio Ave | 37% | 4 (2) | 0.19 | 21 |
 Benfica | 63% | 16 (7) | 2.42 | 92 |
Nacional vs Rio Ave Stats
Key Stats
| Nacional | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.79 | Defence Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nacional are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Rio Ave average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.