Our Recanatese vs Sammaurese Prediction: 3-1
Recanatese vs Sammaurese in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Recanatese vs Sammaurese prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Recanatese's Last Match – San Nicolo Notaresco vs Recanatese
Recanatese must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Italy Serie D defeat against San Nicolo Notaresco on January 4 and regain momentum. In that match, Recanatese saw 42% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Nicolo Notaresco | 58% | 0 (6) | - | 40 |
 Recanatese | 42% | 0 (3) | - | 37 |
Sammaurese's Last Match – Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo
Sammaurese will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 Italy Serie D success over Castelfidardo on January 4. In that match, Sammaurese had 48% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sammaurese | 48% | 0 (6) | - | 41 |
 Castelfidardo | 52% | 0 (4) | - | 39 |
Recanatese vs Sammaurese Stats
Key Stats
| Recanatese | Sammaurese | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.6 | Defence Strength | 2.03 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Recanatese are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Sammaurese average 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.