Our RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: 1-2
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
This RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Wolfsburg on February 15. In that match, RB Leipzig saw 68% of the ball and created 19 goal attempts, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 68% | 19 (10) | 2.61 | 113 |
 Wolfsburg | 32% | 9 (3) | 0.58 | 23 |
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 UEFA Champions League victory over Atalanta on February 17. In that match, Borussia Dortmund had 44% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 44% | 6 (2) | 2.08 | 38 |
 Atalanta | 56% | 4 (3) | 0.46 | 49 |
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 1 | Defence Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Borussia Dortmund average 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
RB Leipzig 14-19
Borussia Dortmund 23-12
What are the odds for this match?
RB Leipzig to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.8
Borussia Dortmund to win: @3.1
Lineups
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1) : Maarten Vandevoordt, Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Brajan Gruda, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo
Borussia Dortmund (3-3-2-2) : Gregor Kobel, Luca Reggiani, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy
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