Our Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction: 2-1
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC in the USA MLS is scheduled for an 21:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Philadelphia Union's Last Match – Philadelphia Union vs Defence Force FC
Philadelphia Union will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 7-0 CONCACAF Champions Cup victory over Defence Force FC on February 27. In that match, Philadelphia Union recorded 62% possession, firing 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia Union | 62% | 14 (9) | 3.17 | 70 |
 Defence Force FC | 38% | 0 (0) | - | 8 |
New York City FC's Last Match – LA Galaxy vs New York City FC
New York City FC will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 USA MLS draw with LA Galaxy on February 23. In that match, New York City FC saw 64% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 LA Galaxy | 36% | 7 (5) | 0.35 | 36 |
 New York City FC | 64% | 8 (0) | 1.4 | 77 |
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Stats
Key Stats
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.81 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Philadelphia Union are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while New York City FC average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union 22-11
New York City FC 12-14
What are the odds for this match?
Philadelphia Union to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.3
New York City FC to win: @3.6
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9