Our Livorno vs Perugia Prediction: 2-1
Livorno vs Perugia in the Italy Serie C Group B is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Livorno vs Perugia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Livorno's Last Match – Sambenedettese vs Livorno
Livorno must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Italy Serie C Group B draw against Sambenedettese on February 28. In that match, Livorno recorded 60% possession, firing 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sambenedettese | 40% | 0 (3) | - | 46 |
 Livorno | 60% | 0 (2) | - | 55 |
Perugia's Last Match – Perugia vs ASD Pineto Calcio
Perugia will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 Italy Serie C Group B loss to ASD Pineto Calcio on February 28. In that match, Perugia saw 62% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Perugia | 62% | 0 (8) | - | 81 |
 ASD Pineto Calcio | 38% | 0 (5) | - | 41 |
Livorno vs Perugia Stats
Key Stats
| Livorno | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Livorno are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Perugia average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.