Our Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction: 2-2
Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. A 2-2 draw is our predicted outcome, with both teams expected to score, making BTTS a solid betting option.
This Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Central Espanol vs Penarol
Penarol will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 Uruguay Apertura loss to Central Espanol on February 15. In that match, Penarol recorded 67% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Central Espanol | 33% | 0 (4) | - | 53 |
 Penarol | 67% | 0 (3) | - | 94 |
Deportivo Maldonado's Last Match – Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Atletico Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Club Atletico Progreso, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Deportivo Maldonado recorded 55% possession and 8 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportivo Maldonado | 55% | 0 (8) | - | 62 |
 Club Atletico Progreso | 45% | 0 (4) | - | 47 |
Penarol vs Deportivo Maldonado Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Deportivo Maldonado average 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Penarol 10-9
Deportivo Maldonado 11-6
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.5
Draw: @3.6
Deportivo Maldonado to win: @6
Over 2.5 Goals: @2