Our Pavia vs USD Castellanzese Prediction: 1-2
Pavia vs USD Castellanzese in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 1-2 away triumph, but considering both teams’ attacking strengths, BTTS is a highly likely scenario.
This Pavia vs USD Castellanzese prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pavia's Last Match – Pavia vs ASD Varesina
Pavia will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Italy Serie D stalemate against ASD Varesina on March 1. In that match, Pavia controlled 58% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pavia | 58% | 0 (3) | - | 73 |
 ASD Varesina | 42% | 0 (3) | - | 47 |
USD Castellanzese's Last Match – USD Castellanzese vs AVC Vogherese 1919
USD Castellanzese will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Italy Serie D victory over AVC Vogherese 1919 on March 1. In that match, USD Castellanzese saw 68% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USD Castellanzese | 68% | 0 (3) | - | 98 |
AVC Vogherese 1919 | 32% | 0 (4) | - | 57 |
Pavia vs USD Castellanzese Stats
Key Stats
| Pavia | USD Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | Attacking Strength | 1.45 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pavia are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while USD Castellanzese average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.