Our AC Milan U23 vs Pavia Prediction: 2-1
AC Milan U23 vs Pavia in the Italy Serie D is scheduled for an 13:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan U23 vs Pavia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan U23's Last Match – AC Leon Monza Brianza vs AC Milan U23
AC Milan U23 must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-0 Italy Serie D victory over AC Leon Monza Brianza in their last outing. In that match, AC Milan U23 recorded 41% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Leon Monza Brianza | 59% | 0 (4) | - | 64 |
AC Milan U23 | 41% | 0 (6) | - | 56 |
Pavia's Last Match – Pavia vs ASD Caldiero Terme
Pavia will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Italy Serie D defeat against ASD Caldiero Terme on January 6.
AC Milan U23 vs Pavia Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan U23 | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan U23 are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Pavia average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

