Our Pau vs SC Bastia Prediction: 1-1
Pau vs SC Bastia in the France Ligue 2 is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Friday March 6, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Pau vs SC Bastia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pau's Last Match – Pau vs St Etienne
Pau will be looking to bounce back after a 0-3 France Ligue 2 defeat against St Etienne on February 28. In that match, Pau controlled 53% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pau | 53% | 0 (4) | 0.37 | 49 |
St Etienne | 47% | 0 (7) | 2.49 | 24 |
SC Bastia's Last Match – SC Bastia vs Annecy
SC Bastia will look to get back on track following a 0-2 France Ligue 2 loss against Annecy on February 27. In that match, SC Bastia saw 60% of the ball and 0 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Bastia | 60% | 0 (0) | 1.33 | 31 |
Annecy | 40% | 0 (3) | 1.81 | 31 |
Pau vs SC Bastia Stats
Key Stats
| Pau | SC Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 0.42 |
| 1.61 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 0/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pau are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while SC Bastia average 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Pau 16-19
SC Bastia 5-7
What are the odds for this match?
Pau to win: @2
Draw: @3.2
SC Bastia to win: @3.7
Lineups
Pau: Daylam Meddah, Kyliane Dong, Giovani Versini, Steeve Beusnard, Omar Sissoko, Julien Anziani, Tom Pouilly, Jean Ruiz, Noah Raveyre, Anthony Briancon, Joseph Kalulu
SC Bastia: Jocelyn Janneh, Juan Jose Guevara Possu, Zakaria Ariss, Florian Bohnert, Joachim Eickmayer, Mehdi Merghem, Gustave Akueson, Felix Tomi, Amine Boutrah, Tom Ducrocq, Johny Placide



Pau
St Etienne
SC Bastia
Annecy
Troyes
St Etienne
Le Mans
Reims
Red Star FC 93
Rodez Aveyron
Dunkerque
Annecy
Montpellier
Guingamp
Pau
Boulogne
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Nancy
Amiens
Laval
SC Bastia