Our AC Milan vs Parma Prediction: 1-1
AC Milan vs Parma in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Parma stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Como
AC Milan will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Italy Serie A draw with Como on February 18. In that match, AC Milan recorded 54% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 54% | 5 (4) | 0.76 | 43 |
 Como | 46% | 8 (4) | 1.45 | 34 |
Parma's Last Match – Parma vs Verona
Parma will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie A victory over Verona, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Parma recorded 76% possession, attempting 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Parma | 76% | 14 (8) | 1.7 | 80 |
 Verona | 24% | 2 (1) | 0.85 | 15 |
AC Milan vs Parma Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Parma average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
AC Milan 17-6
Parma 8-13
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.333
Draw: @5
Parma to win: @9.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Davide Bartesaghi, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Rafael Leao, Christian Pulisic
Parma (3-5-1-1) : Edoardo Corvi, Enrico Del Prato, Troilo, Lautaro Valenti, Sascha Britschgi, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Christian Ordonez, Emanuele Valeri, Gabriel Strefezza, Mateo Pellegrino
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Napoli 
Como 
Roma 
Juventus 
Atalanta 
Bologna 
Sassuolo 
Lazio 
Udinese 
Parma 
Genoa 
Cagliari 
Torino 
Lecce 
Fiorentina 
Cremonese 
Verona 
Pisa