Our Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction: 2-1
Toulouse vs Paris FC in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Toulouse's Last Match – Le Havre vs Toulouse
Toulouse must win to recover from their recent 1-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Le Havre on February 15 and regain momentum. In that match, Toulouse controlled 67% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Le Havre | 33% | 5 (2) | 1.16 | 12 |
 Toulouse | 67% | 13 (8) | 2.53 | 97 |
Paris FC's Last Match – Paris FC vs Lens
Paris FC will hope to recover from their recent 0-5 France Ligue 1 setback against Lens on February 14. In that match, Paris FC had 58% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paris FC | 58% | 9 (5) | 0.57 | 30 |
 Lens | 42% | 11 (8) | 2.95 | 31 |
Toulouse vs Paris FC Stats
Key Stats
| Toulouse | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 0.95 |
| 1.19 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Toulouse are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Paris FC average 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Toulouse 15-9
Paris FC 9-15
What are the odds for this match?
Toulouse to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.4
Paris FC to win: @4.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975
Lineups
Toulouse (3-4-2-1) : Guillaume Restes, Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Waren Kamanzi, Cristian Casseres Jr, Pape Diop, Dayann Methalie, Santiago Hidalgo, Yann Gboho, Emersonn Da Silva
Paris FC (3-4-2-1) : Kevin Trapp, Diego Coppola, Moustapha Mbow, Otavio, Alimami Gory, Pierre Lees-Melou, Marshall Munetsi, Nhoa Sangui, Ilan Kebbal, Jonathan Ikone, Ciro Immobile