Our Modena vs Padova Prediction: 1-1
Modena vs Padova in the Italy Serie B is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Modena vs Padova prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Modena's Last Match – Juve Stabia vs Modena
Modena will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie B success over Juve Stabia on February 22. In that match, Modena saw 35% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juve Stabia | 65% | 8 (3) | 2.08 | 60 |
 Modena | 35% | 7 (3) | 0.7 | 24 |
Padova's Last Match – Padova vs Bari
Padova will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Italy Serie B draw against Bari on February 21. In that match, Padova had 55% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Padova | 55% | 9 (4) | 1.02 | 44 |
 Bari | 45% | 11 (4) | 1.56 | 53 |
Modena vs Padova Stats
Key Stats
| Modena | Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Modena are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Padova average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Modena 11-9
Padova 10-14
What are the odds for this match?
Modena to win: @1.533
Draw: @4
Padova to win: @6
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Modena (3-5-2) : Leandro Chichizola, Gady Beyuku, Alessandro Dellavalle, Bryant Nieling, Luca Zanimacchia, Fabio Gerli, Folly Nador, Simone Santoro, Francesco Zampano, Giuseppe Ambrosino, Manuel De Luca
Padova (4-4-2) : Mattia Fortin, Francesco Belli, Filippo Sgarbi, Christian Pastina, Carlo Faedo, Alessandro Capelli, Kevin Varas Marcillo, Jonas Harder, Francesco Di Mariano, Cristian Buonaiuto, Kevin Lasagna
Venezia 
Monza 
Frosinone 
Palermo 
Catanzaro 
Modena 
Juve Stabia 
Cesena 
Sudtirol 
Padova 
Avellino 
Carrarese 
Empoli 
Virtus Entella 
Mantova 
Sampdoria 
AC Reggiana 
Spezia 
Bari 
Pescara