Our Barakaldo vs Ourense Prediction: 1-0
Barakaldo vs Ourense in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. Barakaldo’s home form gives them the edge, and a single goal could be enough to earn them a 1-0 victory over Ourense.
This Barakaldo vs Ourense prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Barakaldo's Last Match – Arenas Club de Getxo vs Barakaldo
Barakaldo will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 defeat against Arenas Club de Getxo on March 1. In that match, Barakaldo had 60% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arenas Club de Getxo | 40% | 0 (2) | - | 29 |
 Barakaldo | 60% | 0 (2) | - | 72 |
Ourense's Last Match – Ourense vs CD Arenteiro
Ourense will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 triumph against CD Arenteiro on February 28. In that match, Ourense controlled 50% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ourense | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 52 |
 CD Arenteiro | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 59 |
Barakaldo vs Ourense Stats
Key Stats
| Barakaldo | Ourense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 0.59 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Barakaldo are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Ourense average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Barakaldo 15-10
Ourense 11-11
What are the odds for this match?
Barakaldo to win: @1.8
Draw: @3
Ourense to win: @4.333