Our Luton vs Northampton Prediction: 3-1
Luton vs Northampton in the England EFL Trophy is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Luton vs Northampton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Luton's Last Match – Port Vale vs Luton
Determined to get back to winning ways, Luton must win after their 1-1 England League 1 draw against Port Vale on February 28. In that match, Luton saw 61% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Port Vale | 39% | 3 (5) | 0.72 | 40 |
 Luton | 61% | 5 (5) | 1.62 | 42 |
Northampton's Last Match – Northampton vs Peterborough
Northampton must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 England League 1 draw against Peterborough on February 28. In that match, Northampton controlled 42% of possession and managed 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Northampton | 42% | 0 (6) | 0.59 | 53 |
 Peterborough | 58% | 0 (4) | 0.71 | 32 |
Luton vs Northampton Stats
Key Stats
| Luton | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Luton are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Northampton average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Luton 10-12
Northampton 10-16
What are the odds for this match?
Luton to win: @1.533
Draw: @3.8
Northampton to win: @6
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