Our NK Celje vs Lugano Prediction: 4-1
NK Celje vs Lugano in the UEFA Conference League Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday August 14, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This NK Celje vs Lugano prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
NK Celje's Last Match – NK Celje vs NS Mura
NK Celje will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Slovenia Prva Liga victory over NS Mura, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, NK Celje had 60% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NK Celje | 60% | 0 (4) | - | 69 |
 NS Mura | 40% | 0 (7) | - | 50 |
Lugano's Last Match – Lugano vs Basel
Lugano must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Switzerland Super League victory over Basel in their last outing. In that match, Lugano saw 50% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lugano | 50% | 7 (6) | 3.41 | 34 |
 Basel | 50% | 4 (3) | 2 | 48 |
NK Celje vs Lugano Stats
Key Stats
| NK Celje | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Attacking Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.78 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
NK Celje are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Lugano average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
NK Celje 26-11
Lugano 14-20
What are the odds for this match?
NK Celje to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.5
Lugano to win: @2.9